Fler förklaringar till Trumps framgångar

Förra veckan hänvisade jag till en text om hur högerpopulismen i Europa och USA kan förklaras av ojämlik fördelning av resurser och hur de etablerade partierna inte kan erbjuda ett adekvat politiskt svar för margaliserade väljare. 

Som vanligt finns det också en relevant motbild. Dylan Matthews, journalist på webbtidningen Vox, menar att republikanska väljare helt enkelt lockas av Trumps rasistiska och antimuslimska budskap. Och att synen på hans väljare som låginkomsttagare inte stämmer. Ett axplock:

There is absolutely no evidence that Trump’s supporters, either in the primary or the general election, are disproportionately poor or working class. Exit polling from the primaries found that Trump voters made about as much as Ted Cruz voters, and significantly more than supporters of either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders. Trump voters, FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver found, had a median household income of $72,000, a fair bit higher than the $62,000 median household income for non-Hispanic whites in America.

A major study from Gallup’s Jonathan Rothwell confirmed this. Trump support was correlated with higher, not lower, income, both among the population as a whole and among white people. Trump supporters were less likely to be unemployed or to have dropped out of the labor force. Areas with more manufacturing, or higher exposure to imports from China, were less likely to think favorably of Trump.

/…/

UCLA’s Michael Tesler has found that support for Trump in the primaries strongly correlated with respondents’ racial resentment, as measured by survey data. Similarly, Republican voters with the lowest opinions of Muslims were the most likely to vote for Trump, and voters who strongly support mass deportation of undocumented immigrants were likelier to support him in the primaries too.

In April, when the Pew Research Center asked Republicans for their views on Trump, and their opinions on the US becoming majority nonwhite by 2050, they found that Republicans who thought a majority nonwhite population would be ‘bad for the country’ had overwhelmingly favorable views of Trump. Those who thought it was a positive or neutral development were evenly split on Trump.

Läs artikeln här.

Missa inte heller den intressanta evolutionspsykologiska förklaringen till Trump.
/Elias Dietrichson

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